5 Reasons Why Aston Villa Will Beat Newcastle on Sunday

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Aston Villa's English midfielder Fabian Delph (2-L) celebrates after scoring his teams third goal during the English Premier League football match between Aston Villa and West Bromwich Albion at Villa Park in Birmingham on January 29, 2014.  AFP PHOTO/ANDREW YATES -

The last three games at St James' Park between Aston Villa and Newcastle have resulted in two Newcastle victories and a draw. However, a notable takeaway from the matches was the number of goals conceeded by Villa. Currently, the count is nine as the 6-0 victory back in the 2010-11 season contributes heavily to that.

Come Sunday afternoon, live in front of the Sky cameras, I can't see it happening again. Newcastle have dropped from the grace of chasing a top five finish to settling for either 8th or 9th position. They have lost the last five games at St James' Park in all competitions and haven't scored in the last four in the league.

With a round-trip off over 400 miles Villa's always impressive away support will be hoping for the same explosive afternoon like back in 2005 when Bowyer Dyer day occurred. 

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5. The Void Left by Yohan Cabaye

Since Yohan Cabaye left for the glitz and glamour of Paris Saint-Germain in the final few days of the January transfer window, Newcastle haven't been the same without him. 

A replacement for the former talismanic captain never materialised and since the Frenchmen's move, Newcastle haven't scored in the Premier League. 

It has been four matches since their last victory and goal, a 3-1 away success against West Ham at Upton Park on the 18th January. Incidentally, Cabaye scored twice in that win. The last time the team tasted victory in the league, where Cabaye didn't contribute a considerable influence over the game was a 5-1 demolition of nine-man Stoke City at St James' Park on Boxing Day.

Cabaye's three year record in the prestigious black and white saw him play 79 matches and score 17 goals. However his performances, more than his goals, have resulted in Newcastle finishing 5th in the 2011/12 season and in the first half of this season pushing for a challenge to finish in the top five.

No disrespect to Newcastle's only signing of the window Luuk De Jong, a season-long loan from Bundesliga high-flyers Borussia Monchengladbach, you weren't the signing fans were expecting.

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4. Recent Form at St James' Park

Newcastle's home form of late has been abysmal. They haven't won in the last five, failed to score in the last four and within that run suffered an embarrassing 3-0 defeat to local rivals Sunderland, the second 3-0 lose in consecutive seasons. 

The absence of Loic Remy due to a three game suspension for his sending-off at Norwich can't be used as an excuse to paper over the cracks of how bad the Geordies have been at home in the second half of the season. 

Out of a last 15 points on offer, Newcastle have taken only three. The last time Newcastle went longer than four games without a goal was way back in August 2007.

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3. Aston Villa's Counter Attacking Abilities

Villa are without doubt one of the best counter attacking sides in the league. 

When Villa pull on the distinguished claret and blue away from Villa Park the effect is devastating. 

The trio of Gabby Agbonlahor (pictured) Andreas Weimann and Christian Benteke have tormented opposition sides on their own patch since Liverpool were brushed aside 3-1 at Anfield last season. 

The run has included an opening day 3-1 victory over Arsenal at the Emirates, a 3-3 draw at Goodison Park and 3-2 smash and grab at Southampton.

With the 10th best away record in the league (the best in the bottom half of the league) the trialled and tested 4-3-3 formation on Sunday could result in Newcastle's injury hit back-four suffering a consecutive 6th defeat at home.

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2. Lack of Form and the Injury to Fabricio Coloccini

No wins in the last four, no goals in the last three and their last victory (3-1 at West Ham) came down to the departed Yohan Cabaye. Newcastle's fine form in the first half of the season has inevitably saved them from a n11 team relegation scrap.

Inspirational captain Fabricio Coloccini has been out injured with a knee problem since the New Years Day defeat at West Bromwich Albion. His presence at the back has been sorely missed and it can be comparable to Ron Vlaar's absence at Villa. 

Coloccini is rated 50/50 for Sunday's game.

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1. Unrest in the Newcaslte Dressing Room

There are rumours of unrest in the Newcastle dressing room and additional talk of WWE owner Vince McMahon considered a takeover bid. 

The final line is, if reports turn out to be true, manager Alan Pardew will be sacked if he loses on Sunday.

One of the biggest mistakes by Pardew has been to leave out Hatem Ben Arfa, as he is a player with the ability to change games. He is reported to be off in the summer with some of the biggest clubs in Europe chasing his signature. 

If Newcastle were to start without him on Sunday, I can see Pardew collecting his P45 come Monday morning, eight year contract and all.

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