Per @ESPNStatsInfo: 10 consecutive underdogs have covered in the playoffs dating back to last season, the longest such streak in the playoffs in the Super Bowl era.— David Payne Purdum (@DavidPurdum) January 7, 2019
The last team to cover as a favorite is, of course, the New England Patriots. They covered a 13.5 point spread against the Tennesee Titans last season in a 35-14 victory. Every other game in the Divisional Round was a cover by the underdogs, then the Eagles covered as underdogs in NFC Championship and the Super Bowl and the Jags covered in the AFC Championship game.
Underdogs in the NFL playoffs are now 14-1 against the spread in their last 15 playoff games. Amazing.— Clay Travis (@ClayTravis) January 7, 2019
Wild Card weekend was even more dramatic because all of the lines were so close but the underdogs won 3 of 4. The Colts were +2 but won by 14. The Chargers were +2.5 and won by 6. The Eagles were +5.5 and won by 1. The Seahawks were +2.5 and only lost by two after a two-point conversion at the end of the game. Seattle's cover was easily the craziest of the weekend.
After a relatively close Wild Card Weekend, the spreads are much larger in the Divisional Round with even more chances for underdogs to cover and continue the streak. The Colts are +5 against the No. 1 seed Kansas City Chiefs, Dallas is +7.5 against the Los Angeles Rams, the Chargers are +4.5 against the Patriots and the reigning champs are +8 against the New Orleans Saints. All odds, via FanDuel Sportsbook.
The streak might not completely survive the weekend, but if you're looking for NFL Playoff betting advice or a trend, that seems as straightforward as it gets.
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Ian McCafferty is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ian McCafferty also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username itmccaff. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.