​It's been rather quiet on the confirmed transfers front so far this January, hasn't it? 

Obviously, though, it's the bloody transfer window. So that means there's managers either desperately trying to find a bargain or frustratingly (for excited supporters) ruling out any winter business, about 80,000 times as much speculation in the press and a whole wad of bulls**t to boot.

To celebrate the January window, 90min have decided to bring back the old "Bulls**t-O-Meter" to address ten of the winter's biggest transfer rumours, and the chances of them happening measured against the press speculation. Enjoy.

Saido Berahino (West Bromwich Albion)

Chelsea v West Bromwich Albion - Premier League

Linked Clubs: Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur, Stoke City, Liverpool, Newcastle. 

After rejecting a series of offers from Tottenham in the summer, Saido Berahino threw one heck of a tantrum and declared he'd never play for West Bromwich Albion again. They were holding him against his will, apparently.

It turns out he did play for the club again, but so far this season it's been a rare occurrence. The forward is paying for his indiscipline and has lost his place in the team, and lost his form to go with it. There's 18 months left on his contract though, and it'd really be wise for the Baggies to now cash in on a player who'll fetch £18m+. 

Not a bad amount for someone on the bench, and there's no shortage of takers. This one could happen, if Jeremy Peace is able to see that cashing in is a better option than winning a power battle.

Possibility of Future Premier League Transfer: Strong

Likelihood of January Move: Strong


Charlie Austin (Queens Park Rangers)

Queens Park Rangers v Rotherham United - Sky Bet Championship

Linked Clubs: Newcastle United, Crystal Palace, Southampton, West Ham.

Charlie Austin has proven he can score goals in the Premier League. He grabbed 18 for relegated QPR last season and has been on the radar of about half of the current clubs in the division ever since.

Dodgy knees and inflated prices have meant there's been no move so far, but Austin is nigh-on certain to be playing in the Premier League this year. He's happy to spend the rest of the season at Loftus Road if nobody comes in for him this month, but he'll surely be walking away on a free when his deal expires in the summer.

There's a queue a mile long.

Possibility of Future Premier League Transfer: Certain

Likelihood of January Move: Strong


Simone Zaza (Juventus) 

Juventus FC v Hellas Verona FC - Serie A

Linked Clubs: West Ham, Crystal Palace.

It's no shame to not be first choice at a club like Juventus. But Simone Zaza isn't getting enough first team football and his wish is to find it somewhere else.

Crystal Palace and West Ham seem to need a striker, so throughout the last month talk has grown stronger that either club could put up the offer to sign the Italian hitman. At this moment, a loan deal looks more likely than a permanent one, but there's a fair bit of logic to this one.

Don't be surprised to see this man turn up in England. The question only remains over whether terms can be agreed to satisfy all parties.

Possibility of Future Premier League Transfer: Strong

Likelihood of January Move: Strong


Alex Teixeira (Shakhtar Donetsk)


Linked Clubs: Chelsea.

Chelsea seem to be in the market for a forward, and they could do much worse than landing Shakhtar Donetsk's Alex Teixeira given his recent form. He'll cost a pretty penny though, as the Ukrainian side are holding out for over £30m.

The Brazilian has hit 22 goals in 15 league games so far this season, and while Shakhtar aren't keen on selling, manager Mircea Lucescu has suggested they'll cash in if the offer is right.

According to the Star, he said: "If he sticks around, the offers in June could be higher. At the moment we have not received any offer and of course, in the future if we receive one which satisfies the club, then we will consider it."

He seems destined for bigger things, so this one isn't too out there.

Possibility of Future Premier League Transfer: Strong

Likelihood of January Move: Moderate


Alexandre Pato (Corinthians)

Sao Paulo v Sport Recife - Brasileirao Series A 2015

Linked Clubs: Liverpool, Arsenal, Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea.

Though once one of Brazilian football's brightest young talents, Alexandre Pato's struggles with injuries have threatened to derail his career completely.

Pato moved back to his homeland after a spell with AC Milan looking to regenerate himself. He's done just that - not with parent club Corinthians - but at Sao Paulo on loan. He's back amongst the goals and the player is desperate to prove himself in English football.

They want to make their money back on the forward, and the player and his representatives will continue to push for a transfer. Nobody seemed willing to take the plunge, but Chelsea are now said to be very close to completing a deal for the Brazilian. Substance to this one.

Possibility of Future Premier League Transfer: Moderate

Likelihood of Winter Move: Touch And Go


Felipe Anderson (Lazio)

SS Lazio v Torino FC - Serie A

Linked Clubs: Manchester United.

Manchester United have lacked a cutting edge for a large chunk of the Louis van Gaal's era. There's no getting away from it. And once upon a time the Dutchman himself admitted that he wanted to add pace and creativity to his attack. 

As you can imagine, hysteria ensued. What seemed like hundreds of thousands of names were thrown up, but Felipe Anderson's name has stuck for longer than most. United are reportedly poised to pay £36m for him this month.

In truth, the lad has been inconsistent for most of the season. It'd be much like United to pay too much money for him anyway, but LVG appears to have ruled out new recruits this month recently - and yet the speculation persists. Doesn't look like it's happening yet.

​Aiden Cusick has more on this young lad, and the United speculation, ​here.

Possibility of Future Premier League Transfer: Strong

Likelihood of Winter Move: Less Likely By The Day!


Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Borussia Dortmund)


Linked Clubs: Arsenal, Liverpool.

No matter how many times Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang publicly says "NO" to a move to Arsenal, the story keeps appearing. Arsenal are ready to pay £42m for the Gabonese flier, apparently. 

While he's one of European football's hottest strikers at the moment and Arsenal would be wise to acquire him (IF they can), no generally means no. Especially when it's confirmed in public.

Aubameyang himself is likely to move on one day, but he's admitted Spain is his preferred destination. But even while a reunion with Jurgen Klopp at Liverpool or a transfer to the Emirates is off the table, expect to see this one recycled over and over again. 

Possibility of Future Premier League Transfer: Moderate

Likelihood of Winter Move: He's Already Dismissed It Himself!


Neymar (Barcelona)


Linked Clubs: Manchester United.

The world's third best player has been a target for Manchester United for the duration of the season. Now, we don't doubt that United are stupid enough to pursue a player who they have absolutely no chance of signing, but the repetitiveness of this rumour is sickening.

Britain's papers are dying for this one to happen. And while it would be quite the move - it's even been suggested this month that United will pay the player's £140m release clause to get him - Brazil's golden boy has absolutely nothing to gain from such a transfer. Apart from money, of course.

He's playing in the best team in the world, alongside the world's best players and he's winning trophies left, right and centre. Think he's going to rock up at Old Trafford and be told not to move five yards out of position? Please.

Possibility of Future Premier League Transfer: Unlikely

Likelihood of Winter Move: HA, Good One.


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