Supercomputer Predicts Which Team Will Win the UEFA Champions League 2020-21

Mudeet Arora
Oct 3, 2020, 4:25 PM GMT+5:30
UEFA Champions League trophy
UEFA Champions League trophy | Laurence Griffiths/Getty Images
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Statistical analysis done by FiveThirtyEight has predicted that Bayern Munich will have a 33% chance of reaching the final and 21% chance of retaining their Champions League crown this season.

Manchester City, who were the favourites to win according to this very analysis done last season, were handed out a 28% chance of reaching the final and a 16% chance of winning the first Champions League trophy for City.

Here are FiveThirtyEight's predictions for the 2020-21 season of the Champions League.....the % marks the chances of these teams making the various stages as mentioned in different categories.

The below 32 teams are ranked from the worst to best in terms of their calculated chances of winning the biggest club trophy in European football.

Basaksehir

Make round of 16: 2%

Make quarter-finals: <1%

Make semi-finals: <1%

Make final: <1%

Win final: <1%

Ferencvarosi


Make round of 16: 5%

Make quarter-finals: <1%

Make semi-finals: <1%

Make final: <1%

Win final: <1%

Locomotiv Moscow

Make round of 16: 5%

Make quarter-finals: <1%

Make semi-finals: <1%

Make final: <1%

Win final: <1%

Midtjylland


Make round of 16: 8%

Make quarter-finals: <1%

Make semi-finals: <1%

Make final: <1%

Win final: <1%

Krasnodar

Make round of 16: 20%

Make quarter-finals: 4%

Make semi-finals: <1%

Make final: <1%

Win final: <1%

Marseille

Make round of 16: 19%

Make quarter-finals: 4%

Make semi-finals: <1%

Make final: <1%

Win final: <1%

Club Brugge

Make round of 16: 27%

Make quarter-finals: 6%

Make semi-finals: 2%

Make final: <1%

Win final: <1%

Dynamo Kiev

Make round of 16: 23%

Make quarter-finals: 57%

Make semi-finals: 1%

Make final: <1%

Win final: <1%

Rennes

Make round of 16: 29%

Make quarter-finals: 7%

Make semi-finals: 2%

Make final: <1%

Win final: <1%

Lazio

Make round of 16: 37%

Make quarter-finals: 11%

Make semi-finals: 3%

Make final: <1%

Win final: <1%

Olympiacos

Make round of 16: 40%

Make quarter-finals: 37%

Make semi-finals: 4%

Make final: 3%

Win final: <1%

Shakhtar Donetsk

Make round of 16: 29%

Make quarter-finals: 10%

Make semi-finals: 3%

Make final: 1%

Win final: <1%

Borussia Monchengladbach

Make round of 16: 32%

Make quarter-finals: 12%

Make semi-finals: 4%

Make final: 1%

Win final: <1%

Ajax

Make round of 16: 41%

Make quarter-finals: 14%

Make semi-finals: 4%

Make final: 3%

Win final: <1%

FC Porto

Make round of 16: 46%

Make quarter-finals: 16%

Make semi-finals: 6%

Make final: 2%

Win final: <1%

Zenit Saint-Petersburg

Make round of 16: 59%

Make quarter-finals: 22%

Make semi-finals: 8%

Make final: 3%

Win final: <1%

Atalanta

Make round of 16: 59%

Make quarter-finals: 23%

Make semi-finals: 9%

Make final: 3%

Win final: 1%

RB Salzburg

Make round of 16: 59%

Make quarter-finals: 23%

Make semi-finals: 9%

Make final: 3%

Win final: 1%

Sevilla

Make round of 16: 71%

Make quarter-finals: 30%

Make semi-finals: 11%

Make final: 4%

Win final: 1%

Juventus

Make round of 16: 77%

Make quarter-finals: 33%

Make semi-finals: 13%

Make final: 5%

Win final: 2%

RB Leipzig

Make round of 16: 58%

Make quarter-finals: 29%

Make semi-finals: 13%

Make final: 6%

Win final: 2%

Manchester United

Make round of 16: 58%

Make quarter-finals: 29%

Make semi-finals: 13%

Make final: 5%

Win final: 2%

Inter Milan

Make round of 16: 61%

Make quarter-finals: 30%

Make semi-finals: 14%

Make final: 6%

Win final: 2%

Chelsea

Make round of 16: 81%

Make quarter-finals: 40%

Make semi-finals: 17%

Make final: 7%

Win final: 3%

Borussia Dortmund

Make round of 16: 77%

Make quarter-finals: 39%

Make semi-finals: 17%

Make final: 7%

Win final: 3%

Atletico Madrid

Make round of 16: 67%

Make quarter-finals: 37%

Make semi-finals: 19%

Make final: 9%

Win final: 4%

Real Madrid

Make round of 16: 78%

Make quarter-finals: 49%

Make semi-finals: 27%

Make final: 14%

Win final: 7%

Paris Saint-Germain

Make round of 16: 82%

Make quarter-finals: 52%

Make semi-finals: 30%

Make final: 16%

Win final: 8%

FC Barcelona

Make round of 16: 82%

Make quarter-finals: 52%

Make semi-finals: 30%

Make final: 16%

Win final: 8%

Liverpool

Make round of 16: 92%

Make quarter-finals: 63%

Make semi-finals: 38%

Make final: 22%

Win final: 12%

Manchester City

Make round of 16: 95%

Make quarter-finals: 69%

Make semi-finals: 45%

Make final: 28%

Win final: 16%

Bayern Munich

Make round of 16: 89%

Make quarter-finals: 68%

Make semi-finals: 49%

Make final: 33%

Win final: 21%

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